Let me remind you that the average rate of accumulation of ammunition load of missiles of different nomenclature in the Russian occupation forces (ROV) is from 2-3 to 5 missiles per day. That is, as of today, March 1, the ROV may have accumulated ammo from 60 to 105 missiles. Why don’t they run them?
I am not inclined to believe that the Russian occupiers have run out of missiles. They have production as it was, and is. Yes, limited and not satisfying needs, but still there. Thus, JSC Experimental Design Bureau Novator produced 1 Caliber SLCM per day during February. And the Tactical Missile Weapons Corporation (Korolev, Moscow Region) in February closed the plan for the manufacture of Kh-38M and Kh-31PM missiles , in total – at least 20. On average, once a week, the production of the Onyx cruise missile takes place, which are sent for the 15th brigade of the Bastion-P DBK.
Then what does this pause mean?
In my opinion, this pause is caused either by the accumulation of the maximum possible ammunition load to inflict the most destructive effect possible, or by preparations for another “SVO” that will need to be supported by missile strikes.
If we talk about the maximum possible impact, then it should be understood that it also has limitations. This limitation is the number of carriers of this BC. That is, Russia cannot accumulate more than the carriers are capable of launching. Or is it an accumulation for long-term use.
And here the option pops up with another “SVO”, a hybrid operation, for example, against Moldova. As of today, Moldova does not have a layered air defense system that could effectively protect the country’s airspace from mass penetration of missiles.
It is precisely the provision of support to the advancing units from the territory of Transnistria through the infliction of constant missile strikes on the territory of Moldova that Russia can use in the future if it decides to implement such a scenario. And no matter how strange it may sound, but if there is no massive missile attack on Ukraine in the near future, this means that Russia is preparing for one of the scenarios described above. And in this case, it is worth straining more for Chisinau than for Kyiv.
Source
Important
Putin’s Fifth Defeat: Choke on your gas and choke on your rockets
