Japanese observers write that China simulated an armed conflict in Ukraine and concluded that the economies of the warring countries would be too depleted to continue hostilities beyond the summer of 2023.
Employees of the Academy of Military Sciences (AMS) under the People’s Liberation Army of the People’s Republic of China modeled the armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine and came to the conclusion that the war would last all summer and end by the fall of 2023. This was reported on March 9 by Japanese journalists from the Nikkei Asia edition.
Observers write that Chinese experts took into account the state of the economy of the warring parties and determined that the Russian Federation and Ukraine would be too exhausted to support the war for longer than the end of this summer. At the same time, AMS is betting on Russia, which supposedly will have an advantage.
At the same time, Japanese journalists question the results of the simulation, if any. It is possible that the information was distorted in favor of Russia in order to please the pro-Kremlin leadership of China, the material says. At the same time, it was noted that, coincidentally, this summer, the $45 billion aid package adopted in the United States in December last year expires.
China’s “Peace Plan”
Journalists write that after receiving the AMS results, Beijing prepared a “peace proposal” for the anniversary of a full-scale Russian invasion. The Chinese leadership allegedly planned to achieve three goals. The first is to restore relations with Europe and establish direct investment and technology transfer to China.
The second goal is to maintain friendly relations with Ukraine, within which economic cooperation is possible.
“Together with Russia, we cannot afford to lose Ukraine,” a Chinese government source said.
Another goal of the “peace” plan is for China to play a leading role in securing a ceasefire. At the same time, the best scenario for Chinese President Xi Jinping would be the start of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine after the Chinese leader presents a peace plan to President Vladimir Putin. Thus, Beijing would appear in the light of a true participant in the conflict settlement process and would acquire significant geopolitical weight in the Asian region.
Cunning “peace plan” of China. Why Russia was delighted with the proposal of the PRC and what Putin needs
Recall that on February 24, 2023, China presented a plan to end the war in Ukraine. In it, Beijing called for respect for the sovereignty of countries, the resumption of negotiations, the resolution of the humanitarian crisis, and so on.
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