As of February 24, the Russian occupiers had accumulated ammunition for launching missile strikes on Ukraine. However, they did not use it, although, taking into account the heterogeneous nomenclature, they could well provide an average raid with an attempt to break through air defense.
Actually, it is illogical, because a distraught maniac, who refuses to hit himself on a significant date and at the same time has an exaggerated fetish for dates, by such an act causes more anxiety than vice versa. And it should be understood that the missiles have not ended and they are in stock.
What then? It is no longer a secret to anyone that the existing problems with the production of missiles, their removal from storage, as well as logistics are forcing the Russians to stretch the time between massive missile strikes each time. At present, their accumulative potential is 2–5 missiles per day.
This accumulation potential allows for 2 weeks to concentrate on the main sites of ammunition in the amount of from 30 to 70 missiles of various nomenclature. When this ammunition is fired, the next cycle of accumulation is launched, postponing the possibility of massive launches.
It is too early to say why on the 24th something that would have been logical in the behavior of maniacs did not happen, but if in the coming days they do not launch a missile attack, then it should be understood that they are accumulating a potential above the average for … But for what?
In about 2 weeks, their strike capabilities can reach from 100 to 150 missile launches.
Do they aim to inflict just such a blow on Ukraine, or do they intend to stretch out the blows for a certain period? Neither in the first nor in the second case, this effect will not have catastrophic consequences. It will not have catastrophic consequences for Ukraine, but for Moldova…
The fact is that today Moldova as such does not have a layered air defense system that could effectively protect the country’s airspace from the penetration of a hostile object.
But in order to penetrate into the airspace of Moldova, for example, by an amphibious aircraft, with the brave VeDeVe, it is necessary to cross the airspace of Ukraine, in which this object will be successfully destroyed. That is, the implementation of airborne landing is seen as a distinct suicide.
But providing support to advancing units from the territory of Transnistria through constant missile strikes on the territory of Moldova is a much more effective use of this missile resource, against a small country with less ability to recover.
No matter how strange it may sound, if today or in the coming days and even weeks a massive missile strike is not launched against Ukraine, it is not so much the Ukrainians, but the Moldovans who should be worried. Of course, this is only a version, but all possible moves of maniacs should be considered.
In my opinion, it would not be superfluous for Chisinau to close its airspace for the next week and ask Kyiv to cover its airspace with Ukrainian air defense along the maximum available echelon radius. But that’s just in my humble opinion.
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Important
How to turn off the light in Russia: inflate an ordinary balloon with hydrogen and launch it towards the Russian Federation
