According to analysts, bad weather conditions complicate military operations on the left bank of the Kherson region. Thus, fog and temperature fluctuations make it difficult to conduct offensive operations, use drones and artillery.
Difficult weather conditions have a strong impact on offensive and reconnaissance operations along the entire front in Ukraine. However, they open up opportunities for maneuver. This was reported by analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
The report dated December 13 states that the official representative of the Operational Command “South” of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, captain of the first rank Natalya Gumenyuk, said that bad weather conditions complicate military operations on the left bank of the Kherson region. She noted that fog and temperature fluctuations make it difficult to conduct offensive operations, use drones and artillery.
In addition, the head of the Lugansk OVA Artem Lysogor said that bad weather conditions are preventing Russian airstrikes and drone operations in the Kupyansk-Limansky direction.
Analysts say Russian sources also say mud, rain, snow and ice are hampering ground attacks north of Verbovoye in the western Zaporozhye region. It is noted that Russian troops continued offensive operations near Bakhmut and Avdievka, despite “extremely unfavorable” weather conditions.
It is noted that one of the Russian military commanders said that the recent snow storm has improved conditions for ground operations in the occupied Lugansk region.
“It will likely take more than one snowstorm and persistent sub-zero temperatures to harden the ground enough to allow maneuver combat to resume,” the report said.
Russian sources also report that the occupiers are using difficult weather conditions to conduct ground operations. However, Ukrainian reconnaissance drones cannot yet be fully used.
“Russian forces are likely to have launched offensive operations on multiple sectors of the front during the most difficult weather conditions of the fall-winter season, seeking to seize and maintain the initiative until the Russian presidential elections in March 2024,” analysts noted.
Note that ISW previously reported that the Ukrainian Armed Forces carried out successful attacks near Bakhmut and Avdiivka. The Russian military complains that the wind makes it difficult to launch drones, and ice prevents them from advancing, ISW analysts write. At the same time, under the same conditions, the Ukrainian Armed Forces fighters managed to recapture the waste heap on the eastern segment of the front.